黄峥致拼多多股东信：新的世界正在到来新的物种必然出现(10)

4.Time， crowd and uncertainty
When Newton revealed F=M（dV/dT）， it gave us a delusive sense of control， or at least it allowed our wishful thinking that we can finally harness force． We no longer have to worry， because every object has a calculable trajectory determined by its position， mass， velocity and force． We assume each object’s current state fully encompasses and explains its past and that each object is independent． With that， large number of interactions among large number of objects over time would increase complexity and appear chaotic and uncertain， hence probabilistic． It seems that time has created this chaos and uncertainty． And probability is just a statistical aggregation of the trajectories of a large number of objects．
However， when we are isolated at home， waiting with anxiety and unsettling emotions， we start to doubt whether the notion of each object being independent is really a valid assumption in our attempt to understand and explain the world． In our yearning for certainty， we have conveniently chosen to accept some assumptions， such as independence among each object， that can help us explain the world． Our desire for certainty is so strong that we start believing it is truth．